Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds: Week 13 College Football Picks, Best Bets Using Proven Model

Albertsons Stadium features a duel between powerful teams from Mountain West the day after Thanksgiving. The Boise State Broncos host the Utah State Aggies in the regular season finals for both programs. Boise State is 8-3 overall and 7-0 at Mountain West Play this season, earning a berth in the Mountain West title game. Utah State is 6-5 overall and 5-2 in the Mountain West game with an active three-game winning streak.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Broncos as 17-point favorites for this midday ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, or the over/under, is 51.5 in the latest Utah State vs. Boise State odds. Before you make a choice between Boise State and Utah State, you need to look at SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model for college football predictions and betting advice.

Friday’s game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

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The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. For the last 6+ years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering nearly $3,000 in profits for $100 players using its top-flight college football picks against the spread. Everyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set its sights on Utah State vs. Boise State and just laid out its picks and CFB predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model selection. Well, here are some college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Utah State:

  • Distribution Utah State vs. Boise State: Boise State -17
  • Utah State vs. Boise State Over/Under: 51.5 points
  • Utah State vs. Boise State money line: BSU -800, USU +550
  • USU: The Aggies are 4-3 against Spread in the last seven games
  • BSU: The Broncos are 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games
  • Utah State vs. Boise State: See tips at SportsLine
  • Utah State vs Boise State Streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies

Why the state of Utah can cover

The Aggies have solid offensive metrics on their side. Utah State ranks in the top five in Mountain West for total offense, generating more than 350 yards per game, and the Aggies are averaging 162.1 rushing yards per contest. Calvin Tyler Jr. is the engine of the ground game, producing 978 rushing yards (No. 3 at Mountain West) and 128 receiving yards this season. On the outside, Brian Cobbs is No. 4 in the conference with 769 receiving yards and he has 63 receptions this season.

On the other hand, the state of Utah is particularly stingy with pass defense. The Aggies only allow 196.5 yards per game, and opponents average just 6.8 yards per pass attempt while completing just 53.1% of passes. Utah State has 11 interceptions and 22 sacks in 11 games, putting constant pressure on the opposition.

Why Boise State can cover

Boise State should benefit from Utah State’s offensive shortcomings in this matchup. Utah State has 16 interceptions in 11 games, more than any other team in the Mountain West, and the Aggies complete just 57.7% of passes. The Aggies also average just 3.8 yards per carry on the ground, with Utah State ranking in the Mountain West bottom five with a 32.5% efficiency rate in the third third. Boise State is also excellent on defense, including the best pass resistance in the conference.

The Broncos allow just 145.4 passing yards per game, with opponents throwing 11 interceptions, generating just nine passing touchdowns, and completing just 49.8% of passes. Boise State ranks in the top 3 in Mountain West for scoring defense (17.3 points allowed per game), total defense (268.0 yards allowed per game), rushing defense (122.6 yards allowed per game), and yards per carry allowed (3.6) .

How to make Utah State vs. Boise State picks

SportsLine’s model leans towards totals, with each team using a rusher expected to generate in excess of 75 yards. The model also says that one side of the variance is true in almost 60% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s CFB picks at SportsLine.

So who will win Utah State vs. Boise State? And which side of the spread is correct in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah State vs. Boise State spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model who smashed his college football picks and find out.



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