The day after Thanksgiving, two traditional in-state rivals meet in the Sunshine State, while Florida and Florida State go head-to-head in College Football’s Week 13 on Friday.
Florida State goes 8-3 overall, surpassing 8 wins for the first time since 2016 in a breakout season for Coach Mike Norvell, who ranks second in his division behind Clemson and has 217 rushing yards per game nationally Finished top 15, fresh from four straight wins and scored over 40 points in three of them.
Place your bets: College football picks versus the spread for week 13
Meanwhile, freshman Gators coach Billy Napier is hoping to salvage an ebb and flow debut season, dropping three of his last five and losing to perennial SEC basement dweller Vanderbilt.
What do the experts think of the matchup? Let’s see how the College Football Power Index computer prediction model projects the game.
Florida vs. Florida State picks, predictions
Florida State Odds of Winning: The computers predict the Seminoles as the clear favorites with a 76.9 percent chance of winning the game outright.
Florida’s chance of winning: That leaves the tumbling Gators with the outside 23.1 percent edge to take the edge off and avoid falling to .500 at the end of the season.
Point distribution: Florida State comes into play as a 10-point favorite, according to the lines at SI Sportsbook.
In total: 57.5 points
money line: Florida +275 | State of Florida -400
Try your luck: Bet on Florida vs. Florida State at SI Sportsbook
Spread Consensus Pick: State of Florida -10
College Football HQ Prediction: Our own predictions show that Florida State has a 72 percent chance of winning the game with a 34-23 score, hitting the under and covering the spread.
college football pick them: Pick of week 13, predictions by computer model
How to see: The game is scheduled for Friday, November 25 at 7:30 p.m. ET on the ABC main network and streams on fuboTV (free try).
The Football Power Index (FPI) college football ranking and computer prediction model is a measure of team strength that predicts a team’s future performance.
Leaderboards and result predictions are based on 20,000 simulations of a team’s season using a combination of analytics including past results, opponent quality and a team’s schedule.
According to CFP selection committee
- State of Ohio
- State of Kansas
- State of Florida
- North Carolina
- Ole Fraulein
- Oregon State
More College Football from SI: Top 25 Rankings | Schedule | All teams
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