Players ready to create an element of surprise

Maybe our forward-thinking defense helped you last week (Miami might tee off against Houston), but the outfield players were underwhelming. There will be fantasy slates like this one. Keep your head down, keep grinding.

There is no right or wrong way to digest this column. You can use it as a start/sit guide or as an impetus for a prop game. Maybe add someone to your list for more depth, but don’t start them this week. Perhaps you can get some DFS information from the piece. It depends on you. choice of dealer.

We are in week 12.

Demarcus Robinson in Jacksonville (Yahoo DFS salary $16)

It might seem a little embarrassing to list Robinson as a sleeper considering he caught all nine of his targets for 128 yards last week. People tend to notice such a line. Robinson’s career was a pedestrian, a six-year run with just 170 catches and 15 touchdowns. Still, the Ravens are desperate at the receiver — injuries have decimated the space. And Jacksonville’s defense is credible against the run (15th in DVOA) but lousy against the pass (31st in DVOA). Even after Tuesday night’s waiver run, Robinson is unclaimed in about 86 percent of Yahoo’s leagues. Here lies a great opportunity. Baltimore needs to treat Robinson like an every-down player.

Elijah Moore vs. Chicago (DFS Salary $10)

It feels like five years ago, but Moore had a few moments in the first month of the year. He absorbed 21 targets in the first three weeks – admittedly the Jets had a ridiculous pass/run split back then – and occasionally showed chemistry with Joe Flacco. New York announced that Zach Wilson has been benched and the team will be reaching out to Mike White. I daresay White is worse than the Wilson horror show. Moore was a summer destination; maybe this pilot change will trigger a quick finish for him.

Elijah Moore hasn't been on the fantasy radar in weeks, but that could change if the Jets turn to Mike White in QB.  (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Elijah Moore hasn’t been on the fantasy radar in weeks, but that could change if the Jets turn to Mike White in QB. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Josh Palmer in Arizona (DFS salary $22)

Palmer’s scouting profile has always been ordinary, but the Chargers need him in their current plans. Tight end Gerald Everett (groin) did not play last week and Mike Williams had an aggravated ankle sprain. Head coach Brandon Stanley is downplaying the seriousness of Williams’ injury, but high ankle sprains can linger.

Palmer has had a juicy 19-256-2 streak for the past three weeks, and yet he’s currently started in just 24 percent of Yahoo’s leagues. Justin Herbert throws it again. The Chargers’ overtaking tree is getting narrower and narrower. Arizona’s defense is in turmoil; San Francisco did whatever it wanted in Mexico on Monday night. Palmer is approved for proactive use at week 12.

Nico Collins in Miami (DFS salary $15)

I know you’re probably sick of the Houston passing game, and perhaps Collins himself has let you down over the past few weeks. But Miami’s defense is a funnel unit — plugging the barrel and struggling (29th in DVOA) on the pass. And consider the expected game script; With Miami’s 13.5-point favorite, Houston will likely be pitching for most of the second half. Collins didn’t win us anything last week, but a 5-48-0 line isn’t a total flop. And he had 10 goals and a touchdown on his previous start. He can sneak into the WR3 bucket this week. A reports QB change from Davis Mills to Kyle Allen would not be considered a demotion at this point.

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Logan Thomas vs. Falcons (DFS Salary $12)

Tight end is disgusting, there’s no getting around that. So many injuries, so much underperformance.

The usual support options are in place – Juwan Johnson for the touchdown equity, Taysom Hill for the potential use of gadgets (the Saints admit they need to use him more often), Pat Freiermuth for the cleared Chase Claypool goals. If you can’t land any of these guys, maybe Thomas is more your speed. He put up a handy 5-65-0 line last week, he’s always had a good relationship with Taylor Heinicke and Thomas is finally back to full health after a nagging calf injury. The Falcons are in the bottom corner of the league when it comes to tight end marking.

Dontrell Hilliard (RB hideout for Tennessee)

Nobody wants Derrick Henry to get hurt, and if he does get hurt all bets are off in Tennessee. However, Hilliard has been a walking splash game all year, averaging 6.7 yards per carry and 10 yards per reception. Sure, it’s only 35 touches, but four of those catches went for touchdowns. Hilliard should be included in every middle and deep pool, but right now he’s trading at just 12 percent in the Yahoo leagues.

Seahawks DST (Week 13 Preview)

I love playing the look-ahead game on defense this late in the year, and the Seahawks are a week away from a delicious date with the Rams. Sean McVay may be a card-carrying genius, but the LAR offensive staff is probably the worst in the NFC right now. Seattle is listed on just 15 percent of Yahoo; At some pools I skip the line and tuck them in now. It’s possible the Rams will field a second- or third-string quarterback next week, and it is looks like they will in week 12, and of course Cooper Kupp won’t be playing. This is where Seattle can tee off.

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